New Answers to Old Questions

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Outside Myanmar, the 2021 coup d’état has often been portrayed as the end of a hopeful period for the country. In this Adelphi book, Aaron Connelly and Shona Loong argue that the Aung San Suu Kyi government that preceded it was a false dawn, unlikely to fulfil the international community's aspirations for a stable Myanmar.

Outside Myanmar, the 2021 coup d’état has often been portrayed as the end of a hopeful period for the country. In this Adelphi book, however, Aaron Connelly and Shona Loong argue that the Aung San Suu Kyi government that preceded it was a false dawn, unlikely to fulfil the international community's aspirations for a stable, peaceful and strong Myanmar. Instead, the movement opposing the 2021 coup holds much greater promise – despite the bloody conflict that dominates the news today.

Connelly and Loong survey three fundamental relationships that have shaped Myanmar before and after the coup – between the military and the state, between the majority Burmese and ethnic minorities, and between Myanmar and the world – to explain how opposition to the coup has shifted all of them in a more liberal, pluralist and cosmopolitan direction.

Obsah

Authors
Acknowledgements
Abbreviations
Maps

Introduction
Organisation of this book
Why Myanmar matters

Chapter One: The relationship between the armed forces and the state
The origins of the Tatmadaw
The emergence of the NLD
Tatmadaw–NLD accommodation
The NLD in government
Conclusion

Chapter Two: The relationship between the centre and the periphery
‘Race’ during British colonisation
Ethnic relations before independence
Insurgencies in Cold War Burma
Solidarity, ceasefires and co-optation
The USDP and NLD years
Conclusion

Chapter Three: The relationship between Myanmar and the world
Positive (and negative) non-alignment
Foreign relations under the SLORC and SPDC
Partial liberalisation under Thein Sein
Aung San Suu Kyi as State Counsellor
Conclusion

Chapter Four: The relationship between Myanmar’s past and its future
From peaceful protest to armed resistance
Myanmar’s new chapter
Conclusion

Epilogue
Stalemate
Three scenarios
Western disengagement, Asian fears
Deeper currents
A closing window of opportunity

Notes
Index